Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sport Recife win with a probability of 41.8%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 29.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sport Recife win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 2-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.27%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sport Recife in this match.
