Brasileiro | Gameweek 33

Nov 9, 2023 at 11pm UK

Estadio Nilton Santos

Botafogo
3 - 4
Gremio

Costa (6'), Santos (29'), Freitas (46')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Galdino (9'), Suarez (50', 53', 69')
Carballo (25'), Pedro (79')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Live Updates

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Botafogo and Gremio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Botafogo

All competitions

Last Game: Vasco 1-0 Botafogo
Monday, November 6 at 10pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Gremio

All competitions

Last Game: Gremio 1-0 Bahia
Saturday, November 4 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 51.15%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 25.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Botafogo	Draw	Gremio
51.15% ( 0.18)	23.76% ( 0.19)	25.09% ( -0.37)

Both teams to score 55.89% (

-1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.6% (

-1.15)

45.4% (

1.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.27% (

-1.11)

67.73% (

1.12)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.22% (

-0.37)

17.78% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.51% (

-0.64)

48.49% (

0.64)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.97% (

-0.91)

32.03% (

0.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.51% (

-1.05)

68.5% (

1.06)

Score Analysis

Botafogo 51.15%

Gremio 25.09%

Draw 23.75%

Botafogo	Draw	Gremio
1-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 5.57% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.64% Total : 51.15%	1-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.75%	0-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.69% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.63% Total : 25.09%