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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 0-1 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Arminia Bielefeld |
42.2% | 28.08% | 29.73% |
Both teams to score 46.2% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.41% | 59.59% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.08% | 79.93% |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.11% | 27.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.5% | 63.5% |
Arminia Bielefeld Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.07% | 35.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.3% | 72.71% |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Arminia Bielefeld |
1-0 @ 12.79% 2-1 @ 8.36% 2-0 @ 8.17% 3-1 @ 3.56% 3-0 @ 3.48% 3-2 @ 1.82% 4-1 @ 1.14% 4-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.77% Total : 42.19% | 1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 10.02% 2-2 @ 4.28% Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.07% | 0-1 @ 10.25% 1-2 @ 6.7% 0-2 @ 5.25% 1-3 @ 2.29% 0-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 1.98% Total : 29.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 25 |
7 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
10 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 35 | -22 | 6 |
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