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Bundesliga
Augsburg logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
Freiburg logo

Augsburg
0 - 4
Freiburg

FT(HT: 0-0)
Gregoritsch (46'), Grifo (48'), Ginter (61'), Doan (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

Last Six:
    Last Game: BW Lohne 0-4 Augsburg
    Sunday, July 31 at 2.31pm in DFB-Pokal

    Freiburg

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Kaiserslautern 1-2 Freiburg
      Sunday, July 31 at 2.31pm in DFB-Pokal

      We said: Augsburg 1-2 Freiburg

       Not known for being particularly prolific, Augsburg may need to score more than once if they are to get anything from a tough opening match against upwardly mobile opponents. Given Freiburg's recent supremacy in this fixture, too, the visitors are set to start off with a win. Read more.

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 45.73%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

      Result
      AugsburgDrawFreiburg
      29.16% (-0.144 -0.14) 25.11% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 45.73% (0.151 0.15)
      Both teams to score 54.8% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      51.62% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)48.38% (0.056999999999995 0.06)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      29.48% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)70.52% (0.053000000000011 0.05)
      Augsburg Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      69.52% (-0.131 -0.13)30.48% (0.134 0.13)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      33.31% (-0.157 -0.16)66.69% (0.15899999999999 0.16)
      Freiburg Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      78.82% (0.045999999999992 0.05)21.18% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      45.95% (0.069000000000003 0.07)54.05% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)
      Score Analysis
          Augsburg 29.16%
          Freiburg 45.72%
          Draw 25.11%
      AugsburgDrawFreiburg
      1-0 @ 7.67% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
      2-1 @ 7.07% (-0.026 -0.03)
      2-0 @ 4.56% (-0.023 -0.02)
      3-1 @ 2.8% (-0.021 -0.02)
      3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.013 -0.01)
      3-0 @ 1.81% (-0.015 -0.02)
      Other @ 3.08%
      Total : 29.16%
      		1-1 @ 11.9%
      0-0 @ 6.45% (0.015 0.01)
      2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.013 -0.01)
      3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
      Other @ 0.14%
      Total : 25.11%
      		0-1 @ 10.01% (0.029 0.03)
      1-2 @ 9.24% (0.012 0.01)
      0-2 @ 7.78% (0.038 0.04)
      1-3 @ 4.78% (0.012 0.01)
      0-3 @ 4.02% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
      2-3 @ 2.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
      1-4 @ 1.86% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
      0-4 @ 1.56% (0.012 0.01)
      2-4 @ 1.1%
      Other @ 2.54%
      Total : 45.72%

      How you voted: Augsburg vs Freiburg

      Augsburg
      21.3%
      Draw
      12.8%
      Freiburg
      66.0%
      47
      Head to Head
      Feb 19, 2022 2.30pm
      Augsburg
      1-2
      Freiburg
      Gregoritsch (16')
      Hahn (63')
      Petersen (4'), Schlotterbeck (26')
      Schlotterbeck (75')
      Sep 26, 2021 4.30pm
      Freiburg
      3-0
      Augsburg
      Kubler (6'), Holer (25'), Grifo (33' pen.)

      Gouweleeuw (73')
      Mar 21, 2021 5pm
      Freiburg
      2-0
      Augsburg
      Sallai (51'), Lienhart (79')
      Lienhart (23'), Gulde (29'), Santamaria (45+1'), Til (46'), Hofler (74'), Gunter (76'), Demirovic (90+4')

      Uduokhai (15'), Gouweleeuw (84')
      Nov 28, 2020 2.30pm
      Augsburg
      1-1
      Freiburg
      Vargas (80')
      Caligiuri (20'), Gumny (24'), Uduokhai (67')
      Grifo (64')
      Demirovic (7')
      Feb 15, 2020 2.30pm
      Augsburg
      1-1
      Freiburg
      Max (38')
      Baier (50'), Richter (55'), Gouweleeuw (80'), Khedira (88')
      Haberer (51')
      Abrashi (59')
      rhs 2.0
      Today's games header
      > View full version> Yesterday's results
      Tables header RHS
      TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
      1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
      2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
      3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
      4RB Leipzig158342420427
      5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
      6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
      7Werder Bremen157442625125
      8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
      9Freiburg157352124-324
      10Stuttgart156542925423
      11Wolfsburg156363228421
      12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
      13Augsburg154471732-1516
      14St Pauli154291219-714
      15Hoffenheim153572028-814
      16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
      17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
      18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226
      > Bundesliga Full Table


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