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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern Munich | 1 | 5 | 3 |
2 | Augsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | FC Koln | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Freiburg | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Hertha Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 45.73%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Augsburg | Draw | Freiburg |
29.16% ( -0.14) | 25.11% ( -0) | 45.73% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 54.8% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.62% ( -0.05) | 48.38% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.48% ( -0.05) | 70.52% ( 0.05) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.52% ( -0.13) | 30.48% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.31% ( -0.16) | 66.69% ( 0.16) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.82% ( 0.05) | 21.18% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.95% ( 0.07) | 54.05% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Augsburg | Draw | Freiburg |
1-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.08% Total : 29.16% | 1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.24% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.78% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.02% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.54% Total : 45.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 7 | 29 | 29 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 21 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 20 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Freiburg | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 17 |
6 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 16 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 15 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 14 |
10 | Mainz 05Mainz | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Stuttgart | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 13 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 12 |
13 | Augsburg | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 12 |
14 | Heidenheim | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 9 |
16 | St Pauli | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 30 | -20 | 2 |
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