Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 23

Feb 19, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

WWK Arena

Augsburg
1 - 2
Freiburg

Gregoritsch (16')
Hahn (63')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Petersen (4'), Schlotterbeck (26')
Schlotterbeck (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Augsburg 1-1 Freiburg

A fairly common result for both of these sides this season has been a 1-1 draw, so that is what we are predicting for it to finish on Saturday. Freiburg could well nick it, but it is unlikely to be an open and high scoring encounter between two sides relatively quiet on the goals front at both ends of the pitch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Freiburg in this match.

Result
Augsburg	Draw	Freiburg
32.67%	24.84%	42.48%

Both teams to score 57.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.32%

45.69%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.99%

68.01%

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.22%

26.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.93%

62.07%

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.47%

21.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.41%

54.59%

Score Analysis

Augsburg 32.67%

Freiburg 42.49%

Draw 24.84%

Augsburg	Draw	Freiburg
2-1 @ 7.68% 1-0 @ 7.6% 2-0 @ 5% 3-1 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 2.59% 3-0 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.12% Total : 32.67%	1-1 @ 11.66% 2-2 @ 5.9% 0-0 @ 5.77% 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.84%	1-2 @ 8.96% 0-1 @ 8.86% 0-2 @ 6.8% 1-3 @ 4.59% 0-3 @ 3.48% 2-3 @ 3.02% 1-4 @ 1.76% 0-4 @ 1.34% 2-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.52% Total : 42.49%