Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 31

Apr 23, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Mage-Solar-Stadion

Freiburg
3 - 3
Borussia M'bach

Grifo (49' pen.), Gunter (61'), Lienhart (80')
Eggestein (73')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Bensebaini (3' pen.), Embolo (13'), Stindl (90+3')
Plea (59'), Kone (65'), Stindl (79'), Bensebaini (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

Last Six:

Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 RB Leipzig (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal

Next Game: Kaiserslautern vs. Freiburg
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Union Berlin	34	6	57
6	Freiburg	34	12	55
7	FC Koln	34	3	52

Borussia Monchengladbach

Last Six:

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 5-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Oberachern vs. Borussia M'bach
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Hoffenheim	34	-2	46
10	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	-7	45
11	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	-4	42

We said: Freiburg 2-1 Borussia Monchengladbach

With Gladbach left with nothing to play after performing hugely disappointing this season, Freiburg should come out on top here with a raucous atmosphere behind them at the Europa-Park Stadion. If the hosts can build on their midweek success in the cup rather than suffer from a hangover as a result of it, they should possess too much quality, intensity and desire for their lacklustre visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 51.96%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 26.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.21%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	Borussia Monchengladbach
51.96%	21.91%	26.13%

Both teams to score 63.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.15%

35.85%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.07%

57.93%

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.96%

14.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.4%

41.6%

Borussia Monchengladbach Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.84%

26.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.77%

61.23%

Score Analysis

Freiburg 51.97%

Borussia Monchengladbach 26.13%

Draw 21.91%

Freiburg	Draw	Borussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 9.49% 1-0 @ 7.21% 2-0 @ 7.08% 3-1 @ 6.21% 3-0 @ 4.63% 3-2 @ 4.17% 4-1 @ 3.05% 4-0 @ 2.27% 4-2 @ 2.05% 5-1 @ 1.2% 4-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.7% Total : 51.97%	1-1 @ 9.67% 2-2 @ 6.37% 0-0 @ 3.67% 3-3 @ 1.86% Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.91%	1-2 @ 6.48% 0-1 @ 4.92% 0-2 @ 3.3% 1-3 @ 2.9% 2-3 @ 2.85% 0-3 @ 1.48% 1-4 @ 0.97% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.27% Total : 26.13%