Freiburg1 - 4Union Berlin
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Union Berlin | 34 | 6 | 57 |
| 6 | Freiburg | 34 | 12 | 55 |
| 7 | FC Koln | 34 | 3 | 52 |
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 35 | 58 |
| 5 | Union Berlin | 34 | 6 | 57 |
| 6 | Freiburg | 34 | 12 | 55 |
We said: Freiburg 2-1 Union Berlin
With both of these sides in strong form in recent weeks, it looks like it will be an even contest on Saturday, with it potentially yielding plenty of goals. The raucous atmosphere at the Europa-Park Stadion is likely to play its part though, and with Union noticeably different on their travels despite recent away results, we are predicting a home win here.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Freiburg win with a probability of 48.44%. A win for Union Berlin has a probability of 27.64% and a draw has a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline is Freiburg 1-1 Union Berlin with a probability of 11.19% and the second most likely scoreline is Freiburg 2-1 Union Berlin with a probability of 9.49%.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 48.44%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Union Berlin |
| 48.44% | 23.92% | 27.64% |
| Both teams to score 57.69% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.92% | 44.09% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.53% | 66.47% |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.68% | 18.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.58% | 49.42% |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.64% | 29.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.65% | 65.35% |
| Score Analysis |
| Freiburg | Draw | Union Berlin |
| 2-1 @ 9.49% 1-0 @ 9.13% 2-0 @ 7.75% 3-1 @ 5.37% 3-0 @ 4.38% 3-2 @ 3.29% 4-1 @ 2.28% 4-0 @ 1.86% 4-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.49% Total : 48.44% | 1-1 @ 11.19% 2-2 @ 5.82% 0-0 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.92% | 1-2 @ 6.86% 0-1 @ 6.59% 0-2 @ 4.04% 1-3 @ 2.8% 2-3 @ 2.38% 0-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 3.33% Total : 27.64% |
How you voted: Freiburg vs Union Berlin
Schmiedebach (21'), Rapp (47'), Ingvartsen (67'), Friedrich (72')
