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Bundesliga | Gameweek 34
May 14, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena
Freiburg logo

B. Leverkusen
2 - 1
Freiburg

Alario (54'), Palacios (90+7')
Diaby (18'), Baumgartlinger (26')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Haberer (88')
Eggestein (3'), Schlotterbeck (43'), Sildillia (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

Last Six:
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Freiburg
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Elversberg vs. B. Leverkusen
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Freiburg

Last Six:
Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 RB Leipzig (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal
Next Game: Kaiserslautern vs. Freiburg
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-2 Freiburg

 Despite the hosts having nothing left to play for here, it is difficult to see them losing on the final day following their impressive end to the campaign. Goals are surely to be expected though, with Freiburg having to go in search of all three points, and with the likes of Schick and Diaby proving devastating on the counter attack for much of this season, we can see the hosts finding the back of the net on multiple occasions to end their opponent's top-four dream. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 57.2%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 21.83% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.02%) and 1-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (5.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawFreiburg
57.2% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 20.97% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 21.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 61.51% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.88% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)36.12% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.78% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)58.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)12.54% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.43% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)38.57% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.33% (0.0010000000000048 0)29.67% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.28% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)65.72% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 57.2%
    Freiburg 21.83%
    Draw 20.97%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 9.74%
2-0 @ 8.02%
1-0 @ 7.73% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 6.74%
3-0 @ 5.55% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 4.1%
4-1 @ 3.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.88% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 2.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 57.2%
1-1 @ 9.39% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.92%
0-0 @ 3.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.97%
1-2 @ 5.7% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 4.52% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.75%
2-3 @ 2.4%
1-3 @ 2.31%
0-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 21.83%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Freiburg

Bayer Leverkusen
61.4%
Draw
21.1%
Freiburg
17.5%
57
Head to Head
Dec 19, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-1
B. Leverkusen
Grifo (33' pen.), Schade (84')
Schlotterbeck (30'), Holer (86')
Aranguiz (45+1')
Frimpong (32'), Andrich (39'), Odilon (82')
Feb 28, 2021 5pm
B. Leverkusen
1-2
Freiburg
Bailey (70')
Aranguiz (68'), Bailey (71')
Demirovic (50'), Holer (61')
Demirovic (21'), Hofler (73'), Sallai (77')
Nov 1, 2020 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-4
B. Leverkusen
Holer (3'), Petersen (72')
Kubler (45+1'), Heintz (50')
Alario (29', 42'), Amiri (64'), Tah (76')
Bender (24'), Diaby (60')
> Preview
May 29, 2020 7.30pm
Freiburg
0-1
B. Leverkusen
Nov 23, 2019 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen
1-1
Freiburg
Diaby (36')
Holer (5')
Lienhart (46'), Schmid (59'), Hofler (65')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern54101741313
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt5401116512
3RB Leipzig532082611
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen53111410410
5Borussia DortmundDortmund5311119210
6Heidenheim530210739
7Freiburg53028719
8Stuttgart5221141048
9Union BerlinUnion Berlin52214318
10Werder Bremen5221811-38
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach520368-26
12Mainz 05Mainz5122810-25
13Wolfsburg51131011-14
14St Pauli511346-24
15Augsburg5113714-74
16Hoffenheim5104915-63
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum5014511-61
18Holstein Kiel5014717-101
> Bundesliga Full Table


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