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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | Augsburg |
38.06% | 26.36% | 35.57% |
Both teams to score 52.95% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.22% | 51.78% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.46% | 73.54% |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.49% | 26.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.3% | 61.7% |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.05% | 27.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.42% | 63.58% |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | Augsburg |
1-0 @ 9.84% 2-1 @ 8.33% 2-0 @ 6.53% 3-1 @ 3.69% 3-0 @ 2.89% 3-2 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.26% Total : 38.06% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 7.41% 2-2 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.36% | 0-1 @ 9.44% 1-2 @ 7.99% 0-2 @ 6.02% 1-3 @ 3.4% 0-3 @ 2.56% 2-3 @ 2.26% 1-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.83% Total : 35.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 13 |
2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 12 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 11 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 10 |
6 | Heidenheim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
7 | Freiburg | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
8 | Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 8 |
9 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
12 | Mainz 05Mainz | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 5 |
13 | Wolfsburg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 4 |
14 | St Pauli | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 |
15 | Augsburg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 4 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 3 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 1 |
18 | Holstein Kiel | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 1 |
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