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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 37.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.83%) and 2-0 (5.41%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Augsburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Augsburg | Draw | Heidenheim |
38.7% ( -0.12) | 23.66% ( -0) | 37.64% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 62.79% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.84% ( 0.02) | 39.16% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.51% ( 0.02) | 61.49% ( -0.02) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.5% ( -0.05) | 20.5% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.01% ( -0.08) | 52.99% ( 0.08) |
Heidenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.98% ( 0.07) | 21.02% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.2% ( 0.1) | 53.8% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Augsburg | Draw | Heidenheim |
2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 38.7% | 1-1 @ 10.65% 2-2 @ 6.58% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.31% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.81% ( 0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.66% | 1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.32% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 37.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 7 | 29 | 29 |
2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 20 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 19 |
6 | Freiburg | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
7 | Stuttgart | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
8 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 16 |
9 | Wolfsburg | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 15 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 14 |
12 | Mainz 05Mainz | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
13 | Hoffenheim | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 12 |
14 | Augsburg | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Heidenheim | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 10 |
16 | St Pauli | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 32 | -22 | 2 |
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