Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 20

Feb 3, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Vonovia Ruhrstadion

VfL Bochum
1 - 1
Augsburg

Broschinski (33')
Broschinski (44'), Oermann (45+4'), Osterhage (76')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Demirovic (90+1' pen.)
Jakic (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between VfL Bochum and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

VfL Bochum

All competitions

Last Game: Dortmund 3-1 VfL Bochum
Sunday, January 28 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Augsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Augsburg 2-3 Bayern
Saturday, January 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: VfL Bochum 2-1 Augsburg

Despite their lowly league position, Bochum have maintained a very good home record this season, losing just once in nine matches at Vonovia Ruhrstadion and winning three of their last four. Augsburg will not make it easy for the hosts, but we feel that their inability to keep teams from scoring against them will cost them in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 48.78%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
VfL Bochum	Draw	Augsburg
48.78% ( -1.82)	23.06% ( 0.42)	28.16% ( 1.4)

Both teams to score 61.14% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.29% (

-0.9)

39.71% (

0.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.93% (

-0.94)

62.06% (

0.94)

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.47% (

-0.98)

16.53% (

0.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.72% (

-1.79)

46.28% (

1.79)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.25% (

0.51)

26.74% (

-0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.98% (

0.67)

62.01% (

-0.67)

Score Analysis

VfL Bochum 48.78%

Augsburg 28.16%

Draw 23.05%

VfL Bochum	Draw	Augsburg
2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.25) 3-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.26) 3-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.18) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.43% Total : 48.78%	1-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.05%	1-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.26) 0-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.19% Total : 28.16%