Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 8

Oct 22, 2023 at 4.30pm UK

Voith-Arena

Heidenheim
2 - 5
Augsburg

Kleindienst (17'), Beste (18')
Kleindienst (31'), Beck (51'), Siersleben (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-3)

Tietz (29'), Pedersen (41'), Demirovic (42'), Uduokhai (64'), Rexhbecaj (88' pen.)
Pedersen (45+2'), Bauer (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Heidenheim and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heidenheim

All competitions

Last Game: Frankfurt 2-0 Heidenheim
Sunday, October 8 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Augsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Augsburg 1-2 SV Darmstadt 98
Saturday, October 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Heidenheim 2-1 Augsburg

Heidenheim have been impressive at home this season, with only a late collapse against Hoffenheim costing them a 100% record after three games, whereas Augsburg have failed to win any of their last 16 away trips in the Bundesliga. Thorup clearly has a major job on his hands to turn things around in Bavaria, but it may time him some time to do so. As such, we can envisage a narrow home victory for the newly promoted side on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 57.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 20.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.61%) and 1-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Heidenheim	Draw	Augsburg
57.88% ( 0.4)	21.2% ( -0.01)	20.92% ( -0.39)

Both teams to score 59.25% (

-0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.54% (

-0.48)

38.45% (

0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.25% (

-0.51)

60.74% (

0.5)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.9% (

-0.04)

13.09% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.29% (

-0.07)

39.71% (

0.07)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.17% (

-0.63)

31.83% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.73% (

-0.73)

68.26% (

0.73)

Score Analysis

Heidenheim 57.88%

Augsburg 20.92%

Draw 21.2%

Heidenheim	Draw	Augsburg
2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.4% 4-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.38% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.7% Total : 57.88%	1-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.2%	1-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.55% Total : 20.92%