Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 21

Feb 10, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

WWK Arena

Augsburg
2 - 2
RB Leipzig

Tietz (35'), Demirovic (60')
Gouweleeuw (55'), Jakic (64'), Vargas (70'), Dahmen (81'), Mbabu (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Openda (39'), Sesko (52')
Raum (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions

Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-1 Augsburg
Saturday, February 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-0 Union Berlin
Sunday, February 4 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Augsburg 2-3 RB Leipzig

Leipzig have scored 13 goals in their last four meetings with Augsburg and snatched a draw from the jaws of defeat on their last trip to the WWK Arena, recovering from 3-0 down to draw 3-3. After conceding 13 goals in their last five away games in all competitions, a similar game could play out here, and last week's win may give Leipzig added confidence which could see them edge this encounter against an Augsburg side who need to get themselves out of a rut sooner rather than later. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 60.83%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 19.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.53%) and 0-1 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for an Augsburg win it was 2-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Augsburg	Draw	RB Leipzig
19.15% ( -0.01)	20.01% ( -0.02)	60.83% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 60.54% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.6% (

0.08)

35.4% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.56% (

0.09)

57.44% (

-0.09)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.26% (

0.04)

31.74% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.83% (

0.05)

68.17% (

-0.05)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.69% (

0.03)

11.31% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.04% (

0.07)

35.96% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Augsburg 19.15%

RB Leipzig 60.84%

Draw 20.01%

Augsburg	Draw	RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 5.15% ( -0) 1-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.36% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.97% ( 0) 3-0 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 19.15%	1-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 20.01%	1-2 @ 9.79% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.53% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 7.11% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 6.2% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.08% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 3.87% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 3.38% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.47% ( 0) 2-5 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.72% Total : 60.84%