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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 37.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.86%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Augsburg | Draw | Freiburg |
37.67% ( -1) | 24.66% ( 0.32) | 37.67% ( 0.68) |
Both teams to score 59% ( -1.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.93% ( -1.51) | 44.07% ( 1.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.55% ( -1.48) | 66.45% ( 1.48) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.81% ( -1.18) | 23.19% ( 1.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.92% ( -1.76) | 57.08% ( 1.76) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.81% ( -0.33) | 23.19% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.92% ( -0.48) | 57.08% ( 0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Augsburg | Draw | Freiburg |
2-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.19% Total : 37.67% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.35) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.66% | 1-2 @ 8.39% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.43) 0-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.19% Total : 37.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 7 | 29 | 29 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 21 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 20 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Freiburg | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 17 |
6 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 16 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 15 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 14 |
10 | Mainz 05Mainz | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Stuttgart | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 13 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 12 |
13 | Augsburg | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 12 |
14 | Heidenheim | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 9 |
16 | St Pauli | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 30 | -20 | 2 |
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