Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 19

Jan 27, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

PreZero Arena

Hoffenheim
1 - 1
Heidenheim

Kramaric (45+7' pen.)
Stach (59'), Akpoguma (72'), Brooks (89'), Grillitsch (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Dinkci (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions

Last Game: Freiburg 3-2 Hoffenheim
Saturday, January 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Heidenheim

All competitions

Last Game: Heidenheim 1-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, January 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Hoffenheim 2-2 Heidenheim

Hoffenheim's defensive record has been wretched in recent times, meaning that Heidenheim will fancy their chances of recording an upset. The visitors are one of the most potent teams from set-pieces in the Bundesliga and could cause plenty of issues in that regard. However, the hosts clearly possess greater individual talent in offensive areas, and should have enough to score a couple of goals themselves. We can envisage an entertaining score draw between two sides who look set to finish in mid-table this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 54.91%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 23.45% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Hoffenheim	Draw	Heidenheim
54.91% ( -0.68)	21.63% ( 0.24)	23.45% ( 0.44)

Both teams to score 61.37% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.71% (

-0.63)

37.28% (

0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.5% (

-0.68)

59.49% (

0.68)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.39% (

-0.42)

13.6% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.26% (

-0.84)

40.74% (

0.84)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.04% (

0.01)

28.96% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.15% (

0.01)

64.85% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Hoffenheim 54.91%

Heidenheim 23.45%

Draw 21.63%

Hoffenheim	Draw	Heidenheim
2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 7.84% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 4% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 2% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.69% Total : 54.91%	1-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.63%	1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 4.88% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.28% Total : 23.45%