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Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Jan 27, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
PreZero Arena
Heidenheim

Hoffenheim
1 - 1
Heidenheim

Kramaric (45+7' pen.)
Stach (59'), Akpoguma (72'), Brooks (89'), Grillitsch (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dinkci (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Last Game: Freiburg 3-2 Hoffenheim
Saturday, January 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Heidenheim

All competitions
Last Game: Heidenheim 1-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, January 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 2-2 Heidenheim

 Hoffenheim's defensive record has been wretched in recent times, meaning that Heidenheim will fancy their chances of recording an upset. The visitors are one of the most potent teams from set-pieces in the Bundesliga and could cause plenty of issues in that regard. However, the hosts clearly possess greater individual talent in offensive areas, and should have enough to score a couple of goals themselves. We can envisage an entertaining score draw between two sides who look set to finish in mid-table this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 54.91%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 23.45% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawHeidenheim
54.91% (-0.679 -0.68) 21.63% (0.236 0.24) 23.45% (0.437 0.44)
Both teams to score 61.37% (-0.29199999999999 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.71% (-0.632 -0.63)37.28% (0.627 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.5% (-0.683 -0.68)59.49% (0.677 0.68)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.39% (-0.42400000000001 -0.42)13.6% (0.418 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.26% (-0.84099999999999 -0.84)40.74% (0.835 0.84)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)28.96% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.15% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)64.85% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 54.91%
    Heidenheim 23.45%
    Draw 21.63%
HoffenheimDrawHeidenheim
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 7.86% (0.118 0.12)
2-0 @ 7.84% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 6.46% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-0 @ 5.21% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-2 @ 4% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.22% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-0 @ 2.6% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-2 @ 2% (-0.062 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.29% (-0.061 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.04% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 54.91%
1-1 @ 9.74% (0.149 0.15)
2-2 @ 6.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.94% (0.119 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 21.63%
1-2 @ 6.03% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
0-1 @ 4.88% (0.149 0.15)
0-2 @ 3.03% (0.093 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.49% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.49% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.25% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 23.45%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Heidenheim

Hoffenheim
54.2%
Draw
37.5%
Heidenheim
8.3%
24
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Heidenheim
2-3
Hoffenheim
Beste (26'), Pieringer (58')
Dinkci (38')
Beier (77'), Kaderabek (80'), Kramaric (90' pen.)
Bulter (25'), Akpoguma (40'), Grillitsch (70'), Kaderabek (82'), Weghorst (90+5')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226
> Bundesliga Full Table


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