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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 66.61%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 14.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a FC Koln win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | FC Koln |
66.61% | 19.29% | 14.09% |
Both teams to score 51.52% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.25% | 41.75% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.85% | 64.15% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.36% | 11.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.33% | 36.67% |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.3% | 41.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.83% | 78.17% |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | FC Koln |
2-0 @ 11.22% 1-0 @ 10.43% 2-1 @ 9.82% 3-0 @ 8.05% 3-1 @ 7.04% 4-0 @ 4.33% 4-1 @ 3.79% 3-2 @ 3.08% 5-0 @ 1.86% 4-2 @ 1.66% 5-1 @ 1.63% Other @ 3.7% Total : 66.6% | 1-1 @ 9.13% 0-0 @ 4.85% 2-2 @ 4.3% Other @ 1.01% Total : 19.29% | 0-1 @ 4.25% 1-2 @ 3.99% 0-2 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.25% 1-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.58% Total : 14.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 13 |
2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 12 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 11 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 10 |
6 | Heidenheim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
7 | Freiburg | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
8 | Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 8 |
9 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
12 | Mainz 05Mainz | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 5 |
13 | Wolfsburg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 4 |
14 | St Pauli | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 |
15 | Augsburg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 4 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 3 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 1 |
18 | Holstein Kiel | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 1 |
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