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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 45.16%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
Result | ||
Hoffenheim | Draw | FC Koln |
45.16% | 24.4% | 30.44% |
Both teams to score 57.96% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.42% | 44.57% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.05% | 66.94% |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.13% | 19.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.02% | 51.97% |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.33% | 27.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.78% | 63.22% |
Score Analysis |
Hoffenheim | Draw | FC Koln |
2-1 @ 9.22% 1-0 @ 8.88% 2-0 @ 7.18% 3-1 @ 4.97% 3-0 @ 3.87% 3-2 @ 3.19% 4-1 @ 2.01% 4-0 @ 1.56% 4-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.99% Total : 45.16% | 1-1 @ 11.41% 2-2 @ 5.93% 0-0 @ 5.5% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.39% | 1-2 @ 7.33% 0-1 @ 7.06% 0-2 @ 4.54% 1-3 @ 3.14% 2-3 @ 2.54% 0-3 @ 1.94% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.87% Total : 30.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
9 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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