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Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 8, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Stuttgart

Dortmund
1 - 2
Stuttgart

Brandt (81')
Can (17'), Ryerson (56'), Adeyemi (60'), Duranville (90+2')
Ryerson (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Anton (50' og.), Chabot (61')
Stiller (89'), Karazor (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heidenheim 1-2 Dortmund
Saturday, February 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 1-0 Augsburg
Tuesday, February 4 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Borussia Dortmund 2-2 Stuttgart

The hosts could benefit from the new manager bounce on Saturday, and backed by their fervent home support, they should be considered favourites. Borussia Dortmund are unlikely to keep Stuttgart from scoring considering they may have to field a makeshift backline, and the visitors will take confidence from their strong record away from home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.47%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawStuttgart
46.28% (0.22 0.22) 22.44% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05) 31.29% (-0.169 -0.17)
Both teams to score 65.55% (0.104 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.2% (0.175 0.17)34.8% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.23% (0.19600000000001 0.2)56.77% (-0.197 -0.2)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.42% (0.146 0.15)15.58% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.45% (0.271 0.27)44.55% (-0.273 -0.27)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.66% (-0.012 -0.01)22.34% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.17% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)55.83% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 46.28%
    Stuttgart 31.29%
    Draw 22.44%
Borussia DortmundDrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.47% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.02% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.59% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.19% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.73% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.6% (0.028 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.95% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.73% (0.02 0.02)
4-3 @ 0.97% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.97% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 46.28%
1-1 @ 9.7% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.76% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 3.48% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-3 @ 2.09% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.44%
1-2 @ 7.27% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.22% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.91% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.63% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.95% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 31.29%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Stuttgart

Borussia Dortmund
50.7%
Draw
38.7%
Stuttgart
10.7%
75
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 4
Stuttgart
5-1
Dortmund
Undav (4', 90'), Demirovic (21'), Millot (62'), Bilal Toure (80')
Leweling (17')
Guirassy (75')
Can (73'), Sabitzer (77'), Bensebaini (81')
Apr 6, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 28
Dortmund
0-1
Stuttgart

Brandt (45+1'), Adeyemi (72')
Guirassy (64')
Stiller (9'), Millot (26'), Karazor (71'), Nubel (85')
Dec 6, 2023 7.45pm
Round of 16
Stuttgart
2-0
Dortmund
Guirassy (54'), Wamangituka (77')
Anton (64'), Karazor (90+2')

Bensebaini (67')
Nov 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Stuttgart
2-1
Dortmund
Undav (42'), Guirassy (83' pen.)
Undav (15'), Karazor (59')
Fullkrug (36')
Kobel (10'), Adeyemi (15'), Sabitzer (49')
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
Stuttgart
3-3
Dortmund
Coulibaly (78'), Vagnomann (84'), Wamangituka (90+7')
Haller (26'), Malen (33'), Reyna (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern26195275245162
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen26168259332656
3Mainz 05Mainz26136744281645
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt26136754401445
5RB Leipzig2611964133842
6Freiburg2612683638-242
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach26124104340340
8Wolfsburg2610884940938
9Augsburg2610882935-638
10Stuttgart2610794743437
11Borussia DortmundDortmund26105114541435
12Werder Bremen2696114053-1333
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2677122438-1428
14Hoffenheim2668123248-1626
15St Pauli2674152030-1025
16Heidenheim2654173152-2119
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum2646162653-2718
18Holstein Kiel2645173864-2617


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