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Bundesliga
Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 15, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
 
Dortmund logo

Stuttgart
3 - 3
Dortmund

Coulibaly (78'), Vagnomann (84'), Wamangituka (90+7')
Endo (35'), Mavropanos (35'), Tomas (88'), Wamangituka (90+8')
Mavropanos (39')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Haller (26'), Malen (33'), Reyna (90+2')
Bellingham (57'), Reus (71'), Reyna (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 2-3 Stuttgart
Sunday, April 9 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 2-1 Union Berlin
Saturday, April 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Stuttgart 1-2 Borussia Dortmund

 Despite fighting against relegation, Stuttgart have very rarely been soundly beaten all season long, and we do not expect that to be any different on Saturday. However, Dortmund have made a habit of scoring late winners under Terzic throughout the campaign, and we can envisage another one this weekend as they desperately attempt to keep pace with Bayern at the top. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 44.59%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.03%) and 0-2 (5.58%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
StuttgartDrawBorussia Dortmund
33.07% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 22.34% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 44.59% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 66.81% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.49% (0.032000000000011 0.03)33.51% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.69% (0.036999999999999 0.04)55.31% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.25% (0.01100000000001 0.01)20.75% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.62% (0.015000000000001 0.02)53.38% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.3% (0.018000000000001 0.02)15.7% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.22% (0.033000000000001 0.03)44.78% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 33.07%
    Borussia Dortmund 44.59%
    Draw 22.34%
StuttgartDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 5.12% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.91%
3-2 @ 3.62% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.42% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 33.07%
1-1 @ 9.49% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.91% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 3.26% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 22.34%
1-2 @ 8.78% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 6.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 5.42% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-3 @ 4.26% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-3 @ 3.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 2.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.97% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.6% (0.002 0)
3-4 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
1-5 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 44.59%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Dortmund

Stuttgart
2.0%
Draw
7.8%
Borussia Dortmund
90.2%
102
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Dortmund
5-0
Stuttgart
Bellingham (2', 53'), Sule (13'), Reyna (44'), Moukoko (72')
Ozcan (45+1')
Apr 8, 2022 7.30pm
Stuttgart
0-2
Dortmund

Mangala (45+3'), Karazor (86')
Brandt (12', 71')
Bellingham (82')
Nov 20, 2021 2.30pm
Dortmund
2-1
Stuttgart
Malen (56'), Reus (85')
Massimo (63')
Coulibaly (35'), Anton (48')
Apr 10, 2021 5.30pm
Stuttgart
2-3
Dortmund
Kalajdzic (17'), Didavi (78')
Sosa (21'), Forster (28'), Kempf (50'), Anton (82')
Bellingham (47'), Reus (52'), Knauff (80')
Hummels (31'), Hitz (90+2')
Dec 12, 2020 2.30pm
Dortmund
1-5
Stuttgart
Reyna (39')
Can (26'), Morey (66')
Wamangituka (26' pen., 53'), Forster (60'), Coulibaly (63'), Gonzalez (90+1')
Mavropanos (28'), Endo (40'), Wamangituka (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226
> Bundesliga Full Table


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