Home > Football > Bundesliga
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 53.62%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 24.35% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 2-1 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Stuttgart in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Stuttgart.
Result | ||
Heidenheim | Draw | Stuttgart |
24.35% ( -0.09) | 22.03% ( -0.04) | 53.62% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 61.05% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.79% ( 0.08) | 38.2% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.52% ( 0.09) | 60.48% ( -0.09) |
Heidenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.25% ( -0.02) | 28.75% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.41% ( -0.03) | 64.58% ( 0.03) |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.67% ( 0.07) | 14.33% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.84% ( 0.13) | 42.16% ( -0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Heidenheim | Draw | Stuttgart |
2-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.37% Total : 24.35% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.63% ( 0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.03% | 1-2 @ 9.69% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.77% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.28% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 5.04% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.91% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 3.05% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.45% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.39% Total : 53.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 58 | 16 | 42 | 48 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 42 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 37 |
4 | Stuttgart | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 32 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 31 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 28 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 27 |
10 | Freiburg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 27 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 26 |
12 | Augsburg | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 25 |
13 | St Pauli | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 20 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 12 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 10 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |