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Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
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Mainz logo
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Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Dec 6, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Union Berlin logo

Stuttgart
3 - 2
Union Berlin

Woltemade (51', 59'), Karazor (69')
Mittelstadt (34')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Doekhi (37'), Skov (48')
Ronnow (45+3'), Skarke (60'), Leite (90+5'), Svensson (90+4'), Doekhi (90+5'), Vertessen (90+5'), Khedira (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Jahn 0-3 Stuttgart
Tuesday, December 3 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Union Berlin 1-2 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, November 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Stuttgart 1-1 Union Berlin

Union Berlin are not likely to score more than once on Friday considering their poor offensive record, so Stuttgart should be confident of at least preventing the visitors from creating many chances. However, the hosts have been poor defensively in recent weeks, and it would be surprising if they managed to keep a clean sheet. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 64.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 15.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
StuttgartDrawUnion Berlin
64.24% (0.544 0.54) 20.37% (-0.267 -0.27) 15.39% (-0.267 -0.27)
Both teams to score 51.16% (0.255 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.1% (0.663 0.66)43.9% (-0.654 -0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.72% (0.643 0.64)66.28% (-0.63499999999999 -0.63)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.05% (0.366 0.37)12.95% (-0.359 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.59% (0.737 0.74)39.41% (-0.729 -0.73)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.77% (0.051000000000002 0.05)41.23% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.24% (0.041 0.04)77.76% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 64.23%
    Union Berlin 15.39%
    Draw 20.37%
StuttgartDrawUnion Berlin
2-0 @ 11.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 10.91% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 7.6% (0.091 0.09)
3-1 @ 6.74% (0.089 0.09)
4-0 @ 3.89% (0.099 0.1)
4-1 @ 3.44% (0.091 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.98% (0.042 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.59% (0.061 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.53% (0.042 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.41% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 64.23%
1-1 @ 9.67% (-0.134 -0.13)
0-0 @ 5.34% (-0.154 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.38% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 20.37%
0-1 @ 4.73% (-0.131 -0.13)
1-2 @ 4.28% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.1% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.29% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.27% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 15.39%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Union Berlin

Stuttgart
81.5%
Draw
13.7%
Union Berlin
4.8%
124
Head to Head
Mar 8, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 25
Stuttgart
2-0
Union Berlin
Guirassy (19'), Fuhrich (65')
Vagnomann (83')

Khedira (39'), Tousart (77')
Schafer (69')
Oct 31, 2023 5pm
Second Round
Stuttgart
1-0
Union Berlin
Undav (45')
Stergiou (88'), Ito (90+1')

Tousart (85'), Fischer (86'), Gosens (90+1')
Oct 21, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Union Berlin
0-3
Stuttgart

Haberer (34'), Behrens (49')
Guirassy (16'), Wamangituka (81'), Undav (88')
Rouault (34'), Hoeness (35')
Apr 1, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
Union Berlin
3-0
Stuttgart
Becker (51'), Behrens (65'), Haraguchi (68' og.)
Oct 9, 2022 6.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Werder Bremen157442625125
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
8Freiburg157352124-324
9Stuttgart156542925423
10Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
11Wolfsburg146353125621
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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