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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 64.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 15.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.
Result | ||
Stuttgart | Draw | Union Berlin |
64.24% ( 0.54) | 20.37% ( -0.27) | 15.39% ( -0.27) |
Both teams to score 51.16% ( 0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.1% ( 0.66) | 43.9% ( -0.65) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.72% ( 0.64) | 66.28% ( -0.63) |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.05% ( 0.37) | 12.95% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.59% ( 0.74) | 39.41% ( -0.73) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.77% ( 0.05) | 41.23% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.24% ( 0.04) | 77.76% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Stuttgart | Draw | Union Berlin |
2-0 @ 11.15% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 10.91% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.12% Total : 64.23% | 1-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( 0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 20.37% | 0-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.73% Total : 15.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
9 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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