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Bundesliga
Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Sep 22, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Dortmund logo

Stuttgart
5 - 1
Dortmund

Undav (4', 90'), Demirovic (21'), Millot (62'), Bilal Toure (80')
Leweling (17')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Guirassy (75')
Can (73'), Sabitzer (77'), Bensebaini (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Real Madrid 3-1 Stuttgart
Tuesday, September 17 at 8pm in Champions League

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Brugge 0-3 Dortmund
Wednesday, September 18 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Stuttgart 1-2 Borussia Dortmund

 Though Stuttgart's loss against Real Madrid was not an unexpected result, it was the third time this season that they have conceded three or more goals in a match. Additionally, Dortmund have been playing well in the early stages of their campaign under Sahin, and they should be full of confidence after their win against Club Brugge in the Champions League. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 47.98%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.27%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
StuttgartDrawBorussia Dortmund
47.98% (-0.214 -0.21) 22.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 30% (0.209 0.21)
Both teams to score 66.37% (0.12 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.58% (0.10000000000001 0.1)33.41% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.8% (0.113 0.11)55.2% (-0.112 -0.11)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.53% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)14.47% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.56% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)42.44% (0.073 0.07)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.6% (0.175 0.17)22.4% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.08% (0.258 0.26)55.91% (-0.257 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 47.98%
    Borussia Dortmund 30%
    Draw 22.02%
StuttgartDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.27% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.06% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.84% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.37% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.9% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.82% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.11%
4-0 @ 1.89% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.09% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.05% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 47.98%
1-1 @ 9.37% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.78% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.24% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.18% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 22.02%
1-2 @ 7.01% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
0-1 @ 4.85%
0-2 @ 3.63% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.5% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.38% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.31% (0.018 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.26% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 30%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Dortmund

Stuttgart
28.3%
Draw
19.0%
Borussia Dortmund
52.7%
184
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 28
Dortmund
0-1
Stuttgart

Brandt (45+1'), Adeyemi (72')
Guirassy (64')
Stiller (9'), Millot (26'), Karazor (71'), Nubel (85')
> Preview
Dec 6, 2023 7.45pm
Round of 16
Stuttgart
2-0
Dortmund
Guirassy (54'), Wamangituka (77')
Anton (64'), Karazor (90+2')

Bensebaini (67')
> Preview
Nov 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Stuttgart
2-1
Dortmund
Undav (42'), Guirassy (83' pen.)
Undav (15'), Karazor (59')
Fullkrug (36')
Kobel (10'), Adeyemi (15'), Sabitzer (49')
> Preview
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
Stuttgart
3-3
Dortmund
Coulibaly (78'), Vagnomann (84'), Wamangituka (90+7')
Haller (26'), Malen (33'), Reyna (90+2')
> Preview
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Dortmund
5-0
Stuttgart
Bellingham (2', 53'), Sule (13'), Reyna (44'), Moukoko (72')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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