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Bundesliga
Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Nov 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Dortmund logo

Stuttgart
2 - 1
Dortmund

Undav (42'), Guirassy (83' pen.)
Undav (15'), Karazor (59')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Fullkrug (36')
Kobel (10'), Adeyemi (15'), Sabitzer (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 2-0 Stuttgart
Sunday, November 5 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 2-0 Newcastle
Tuesday, November 7 at 5.45pm in Champions League

We said: Stuttgart 1-2 Borussia Dortmund

 Stuttgart's surprisingly excellent start to the season was always likely to come to an end as soon as Guirassy was ruled out through injury for a period of time, and if he is unable to return on Saturday, we expect Dortmund to return to winning ways in the Bundesliga. Terzic's side showed excellent resolve to bounce back from their humiliation in Der Klassiker by beating Newcastle in the Champions League in midweek, and they will know that they cannot afford to drop any more unnecessary points if they are to have any realistic hopes of catching Leverkusen and Bayern at the summit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.53%) and 1-0 (5.27%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Stuttgart in this match.

Result
StuttgartDrawBorussia Dortmund
44.83% (-1.412 -1.41) 21.71% (0.328 0.33) 33.46% (1.086 1.09)
Both teams to score 69.44% (-0.78999999999999 -0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.85% (-1.209 -1.21)30.14% (1.211 1.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.63% (-1.468 -1.47)51.37% (1.469 1.47)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.69% (-0.93300000000001 -0.93)14.31% (0.935 0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.87% (-1.849 -1.85)42.12% (1.849 1.85)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.04% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)18.96% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.51% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)50.49% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 44.83%
    Borussia Dortmund 33.46%
    Draw 21.71%
StuttgartDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.53% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5.53% (-0.191 -0.19)
1-0 @ 5.27% (0.184 0.18)
2-0 @ 5.13% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.6% (-0.165 -0.17)
3-0 @ 3.32% (-0.112 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.69% (-0.189 -0.19)
4-2 @ 2.23% (-0.161 -0.16)
4-0 @ 1.62% (-0.112 -0.11)
4-3 @ 1.24% (-0.091 -0.09)
5-1 @ 1.05% (-0.113 -0.11)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 44.83%
1-1 @ 8.77% (0.295 0.3)
2-2 @ 7.09% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.71% (0.182 0.18)
3-3 @ 2.55% (-0.095 -0.09)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 21.71%
1-2 @ 7.29% (0.237 0.24)
0-1 @ 4.51% (0.298 0.3)
1-3 @ 4.04% (0.127 0.13)
2-3 @ 3.93% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.75% (0.244 0.24)
0-3 @ 2.08% (0.133 0.13)
1-4 @ 1.68% (0.05 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.63% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1.06% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 33.46%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Dortmund

Stuttgart
21.2%
Draw
19.7%
Borussia Dortmund
59.1%
66
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Dortmund
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Haller (26'), Malen (33'), Reyna (90+2')
> Preview
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Dortmund
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Stuttgart
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> Preview
Apr 8, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 29
Stuttgart
0-2
Dortmund

Mangala (45+3'), Karazor (86')
Brandt (12', 71')
Bellingham (82')
> Preview
Nov 20, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
Dortmund
2-1
Stuttgart
Malen (56'), Reus (85')
Massimo (63')
Coulibaly (35'), Anton (48')
> Preview
Apr 10, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 28
Stuttgart
2-3
Dortmund
Kalajdzic (17'), Didavi (78')
Sosa (21'), Forster (28'), Kempf (50'), Anton (82')
Bellingham (47'), Reus (52'), Knauff (80')
Hummels (31'), Hitz (90+2')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226
> Bundesliga Full Table


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