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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 62.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 17.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Werder Bremen |
62.66% | 20.32% | 17.02% |
Both teams to score 55.08% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.45% | 40.54% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.07% | 62.93% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.63% | 12.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.78% | 38.22% |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.86% | 37.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.07% | 73.93% |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Werder Bremen |
2-0 @ 10.03% 2-1 @ 9.94% 1-0 @ 9.6% 3-0 @ 6.99% 3-1 @ 6.92% 4-0 @ 3.65% 4-1 @ 3.62% 3-2 @ 3.43% 4-2 @ 1.79% 5-0 @ 1.53% 5-1 @ 1.51% Other @ 3.64% Total : 62.66% | 1-1 @ 9.51% 2-2 @ 4.92% 0-0 @ 4.59% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.32% | 1-2 @ 4.71% 0-1 @ 4.55% 0-2 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 1.63% 1-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.33% Total : 17.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 13 |
2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 12 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 11 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 10 |
6 | Heidenheim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
7 | Freiburg | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
8 | Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 8 |
9 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
12 | Mainz 05Mainz | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 5 |
13 | Wolfsburg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 4 |
14 | St Pauli | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 |
15 | Augsburg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 4 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 3 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 1 |
18 | Holstein Kiel | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 1 |
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