Dortmund

1 - 2

Man City

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 56.65%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Borussia Dortmund win it was 2-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Manchester City in this match.