Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 55.2%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 22.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 2-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.