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Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 13, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena
Mainz logo

B. Leverkusen
2 - 2
Mainz 05

Alario (14'), Schick (84')
Tah (3'), Wendell (13'), Tapsoba (67'), Schick (68'), Fosu-Mensah (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Glatzel (89'), Stoger (90+2')
Stoger (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 64.79%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 16.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawMainz 05
64.79%18.88%16.33%
Both teams to score 58.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.97%35.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.97%57.03%
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.81%10.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.53%33.47%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.44%34.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.72%71.28%
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 64.79%
    Mainz 05 16.33%
    Draw 18.89%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.76%
2-0 @ 9.19%
1-0 @ 8.05%
3-1 @ 7.43%
3-0 @ 6.99%
4-1 @ 4.24%
4-0 @ 3.99%
3-2 @ 3.95%
4-2 @ 2.25%
5-1 @ 1.94%
5-0 @ 1.82%
5-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 64.79%
1-1 @ 8.55%
2-2 @ 5.18%
0-0 @ 3.52%
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 18.89%
1-2 @ 4.54%
0-1 @ 3.74%
0-2 @ 1.99%
2-3 @ 1.84%
1-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 16.33%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Mainz 05

Bayer Leverkusen
91.7%
Draw
5.6%
Mainz 05
2.8%
72
Head to Head
Oct 17, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Mainz
0-1
B. Leverkusen

Latza (75'), Fernandes (85'), Ji (86')
Alario (30')
Bender (57')
Jun 27, 2020 2.30pm
Dec 21, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 17
Mainz
0-1
B. Leverkusen
Alario (93')
Wendell (58')
Wendell (71')
Feb 8, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 21
Mainz
1-5
B. Leverkusen
Quaison (9')
Kunde (38'), Quaison (61'), Barreiro (89')
Wendell (5'), Havertz (20'), Brandt (30', 64'), Bellarabi (43')
Bellarabi (38')
Sep 23, 2018 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
B. Leverkusen
1-0
Mainz
Havertz (62')
Bender (4'), Kohr (68')

Oztunali (72'), Bell (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern20163162194351
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4RB Leipzig209653429533
5Stuttgart209563730732
6Mainz 05Mainz209473324931
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach209383230230
8Werder Bremen208663436-230
9Freiburg209382736-930
10Borussia DortmundDortmund208573634229
11Wolfsburg198474234828
12Augsburg207582435-1126
13St Pauli2063111822-421
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin205691627-1121
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim2042142542-1714
17Holstein Kiel2033143152-2112
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum2024141744-2710


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