Champions League

Champions League | Round of 16

Feb 24, 2021 at 8pm UK

Borussia-Park

Borussia M'bach
0 - 2
Man City

FT(HT: 0-1)

Silva (29'), Jesus (65')

Pep Guardiola jokes success is all down to Manchester City's spending power

City chalked up their 19th successive win in all competitions when they beat Borussia Monchengladbach on Wednesday.

Feb 25, 12:15

Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola pictured in February 2021

Pep Guardiola: 'We must improve in front of goal'

The Premier League leaders defeated Borussia Monchengladbach 2-0 in the Champions League with goals from Bernardo Silva and Gabriel Jesus.

Feb 24, 23:48

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 55.49%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 23% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.92%) and 0-1 (7.88%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Borussia Monchengladbach	Draw	Manchester City
23%	21.5%	55.49%

Both teams to score 61.26%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.83%

37.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.63%

59.37%

Borussia Monchengladbach Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.73%

29.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.77%

65.23%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.61%

13.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.69%

40.3%

Score Analysis

Borussia Monchengladbach 23%

Manchester City 55.49%

Draw 21.5%

Borussia Monchengladbach	Draw	Manchester City
2-1 @ 5.95% 1-0 @ 4.81% 2-0 @ 2.96% 3-2 @ 2.45% 3-1 @ 2.44% 3-0 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.19% Total : 23%	1-1 @ 9.68% 2-2 @ 5.98% 0-0 @ 3.92% 3-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.5%	1-2 @ 9.73% 0-2 @ 7.92% 0-1 @ 7.88% 1-3 @ 6.53% 0-3 @ 5.31% 2-3 @ 4.01% 1-4 @ 3.28% 0-4 @ 2.67% 2-4 @ 2.02% 1-5 @ 1.32% 0-5 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.76% Total : 55.49%