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Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
May 13, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Commerzbank-Arena
Mainz logo

Frankfurt
3 - 0
Mainz

Kamada (18' pen.), Buta (40'), Kolo (59')
Tuta (30')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bell (22'), Hanche-Olsen (38'), Shabani (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 2-3 Schalke
Friday, May 5 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1 Mainz 05

Neither side head into this fixture in the greatest form across recent weeks, with only outside hopes of qualifying for Europe providing any real motivation for both sets of players. Although Frankfurt arguably have greater individual quality, their league campaign has completely run out of steam, meaning that we can envisage a share of the spoils with Mainz on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 52.08%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 24.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawMainz 05
52.08% (0.78400000000001 0.78) 23.51% (-0.221 -0.22) 24.41% (-0.562 -0.56)
Both teams to score 55.98% (0.128 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.07% (0.453 0.45)44.93% (-0.452 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.72% (0.43300000000001 0.43)67.28% (-0.43199999999999 -0.43)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.74% (0.462 0.46)17.26% (-0.461 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.42% (0.804 0.8)47.57% (-0.803 -0.8)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.65% (-0.22500000000001 -0.23)32.34% (0.22600000000001 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.15% (-0.254 -0.25)68.85% (0.255 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 52.08%
    Mainz 05 24.41%
    Draw 23.5%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawMainz 05
1-0 @ 9.81% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.62% (0.093 0.09)
3-1 @ 5.7% (0.111 0.11)
3-0 @ 5.05% (0.13 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.21% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.5% (0.086 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.22% (0.089 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 52.08%
1-1 @ 11.06% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 5.58% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.5%
0-1 @ 6.3% (-0.163 -0.16)
1-2 @ 6.25% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-2 @ 3.56% (-0.115 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.35% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 24.41%

How you voted: Frankfurt vs Mainz

Eintracht Frankfurt
52.6%
Draw
31.6%
Mainz 05
15.8%
38
Head to Head
Nov 13, 2022 2.30pm
gameweek 15
Mainz
1-1
Frankfurt
Burkardt (40')
Kolo (67')
Tuta (38')
May 14, 2022 2.30pm
gameweek 34
Mainz
2-2
Frankfurt
Ingvartsen (10', 49')
Caricol (51'), Bell (56')
Tuta (26'), Borre (35')
Dec 18, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 17
Frankfurt
1-0
Mainz
Lindstrom (35')

Caricol (90+2')
May 9, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 32
Frankfurt
1-1
Mainz
Hrustic (86')
Kostic (30'), Hrustic (49')
Onisiwo (11')
Jan 9, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 15
Mainz
0-2
Frankfurt

Niakhate (22'), Quaison (43')
Silva (24' pen., 72')
Hasebe (59')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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