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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 29
Apr 22, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
Eintracht Frankfurt logo

Dortmund
4 - 0
Frankfurt

Bellingham (19'), Malen (24', 66'), Hummels (41')
Bellingham (54'), Adeyemi (82')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Lenz (12'), Kolo (24'), Rode (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Eintracht Frankfurt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 3-3 Dortmund
Saturday, April 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-1 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, April 15 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Eintracht Frankfurt

 As was the case during the latter part of last season when they were chasing glory in the Europa League, Frankfurt appear to have checked out of the Bundesliga to some extent, as winning the DFB-Pokal is firmly within their sights. As such, we expect Dortmund to bounce back with a crucial victory, but it will not be enough to see them return to the top of the table unless Mainz can do them a favour by beating Bayern earlier in the day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 67.7%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 14.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 3-1 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.66%), while for a Eintracht Frankfurt win it was 1-2 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawEintracht Frankfurt
67.7% (0.142 0.14) 17.46% (-0.041 -0.04) 14.84% (-0.106 -0.11)
Both teams to score 60.55% (-0.131 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.88% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)31.12% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.47% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)52.53% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.53% (0.016999999999996 0.02)8.46% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.63% (0.049999999999997 0.05)29.36% (-0.055 -0.05)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.15% (-0.16 -0.16)33.84% (0.154 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.49% (-0.172 -0.17)70.51% (0.167 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 67.7%
    Eintracht Frankfurt 14.84%
    Draw 17.46%
Borussia DortmundDrawEintracht Frankfurt
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.73% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.79% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.19% (0.037 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.07% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.81% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.44% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.22% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.38% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.19% (0.016 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.29% (-0.002 -0)
6-1 @ 0.98% (0.003 0)
4-3 @ 0.94% (-0.006 -0.01)
6-0 @ 0.9% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 67.7%
1-1 @ 7.66% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-0 @ 2.86% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 17.46%
1-2 @ 4.15% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-1 @ 3.1% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.68% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.5% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 14.84%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Frankfurt

Borussia Dortmund
87.5%
Draw
9.7%
Eintracht Frankfurt
2.8%
72
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 12
Frankfurt
1-2
Dortmund
Kamada (26')
Pellegrini (16')
Brandt (21'), Bellingham (52')
Jan 8, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 18
Frankfurt
2-3
Dortmund
Borre (15', 24')
Hinteregger (87'), Chandler (88'), Borre (90+4')
Hazard (71'), Bellingham (87'), Dahoud (89')
Braut Haaland (87'), Hazard (90+5')
Aug 14, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 1
Dortmund
5-2
Frankfurt
Reus (23'), Hazard (32'), Braut Haaland (34', 70'), Reyna (58')
Passlack (27' og.), Petter Hauge (86')
Apr 3, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 27
Dortmund
1-2
Frankfurt
Hummels (45')
Schulz (11' og.), Silva (87')
Kostic (25'), Sow (33'), Rode (76')
Dec 5, 2020 2.30pm
gameweek 10
Frankfurt
1-1
Dortmund
Kamada (9')
N'Dicka (41'), Kamada (47'), Rode (60'), Sow (64'), Kostic (82'), Abraham (85')
Reyna (56')
Can (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243
> Bundesliga Full Table


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