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Bundesliga | Gameweek 34
May 18, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Commerzbank-Arena
Leipzig logo

Frankfurt
2 - 2
RB Leipzig

Ekitike (60'), Marmoush (77' pen.)
Koch (61'), Knauff (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Simons (42' pen.), Sesko (46')
Henrichs (51'), Simons (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-1 Werder Bremen
Saturday, May 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1 RB Leipzig

The need for victory, or at least a point, is greater for Frankfurt and their strong home record against Leipzig bodes well ahead of Saturday's contest. Leipzig will fancy their chances of at least finding the net, especially if in-form Sesko and top scorer Openda link up in attack, but we believe that the hosts will have that extra level of motivation and should find a way to end the season on a high by claiming maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.57%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawRB Leipzig
31.1% (1.79 1.79) 22.49% (0.534 0.53) 46.42% (-2.326 -2.33)
Both teams to score 65.26% (-0.842 -0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.85% (-1.581 -1.58)35.15% (1.581 1.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.85% (-1.781 -1.78)57.15% (1.782 1.78)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.38% (0.27500000000001 0.28)22.62% (-0.275 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.76% (0.405 0.41)56.24% (-0.406 -0.41)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.34% (-1.394 -1.39)15.67% (1.394 1.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.29% (-2.649 -2.65)44.71% (2.649 2.65)
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 31.1%
    RB Leipzig 46.42%
    Draw 22.49%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 7.26% (0.343 0.34)
1-0 @ 5.27% (0.45 0.45)
2-0 @ 3.92% (0.364 0.36)
3-1 @ 3.6% (0.198 0.2)
3-2 @ 3.33% (0.025 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.94% (0.194 0.19)
4-1 @ 1.34% (0.084 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 31.1%
1-1 @ 9.76% (0.386 0.39)
2-2 @ 6.73% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.54% (0.277 0.28)
3-3 @ 2.06% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.49%
1-2 @ 9.05% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-1 @ 6.57% (0.208 0.21)
0-2 @ 6.09% (-0.104 -0.1)
1-3 @ 5.59% (-0.334 -0.33)
2-3 @ 4.16% (-0.212 -0.21)
0-3 @ 3.76% (-0.257 -0.26)
1-4 @ 2.59% (-0.293 -0.29)
2-4 @ 1.93% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-4 @ 1.74% (-0.213 -0.21)
1-5 @ 0.96% (-0.162 -0.16)
3-4 @ 0.95% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 46.42%

How you voted: Frankfurt vs RB Leipzig

Eintracht Frankfurt
41.1%
Draw
23.3%
RB Leipzig
35.6%
73
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 17
RB Leipzig
0-1
Frankfurt
Knauff (7')
Ebimbe (41'), Larsson (90+4')
Jun 3, 2023 7pm
Final
RB Leipzig
2-0
Frankfurt
Nkunku (71'), Szoboszlai (85')
Laimer (81'), Nkunku (90+1')

Gotze (77'), Kolo (90+2')
Feb 25, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
RB Leipzig
2-1
Frankfurt
Werner (6'), Forsberg (40')
Sow (61')
Sep 3, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
Frankfurt
4-0
RB Leipzig
Kamada (16'), Rode (22'), Tuta (67'), Borre (84' pen.)
Sow (33')

Henrichs (60')
Mar 20, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
RB Leipzig
0-0
Frankfurt
Laimer (19')
N'Dicka (35'), Hinteregger (50'), Hrustic (56'), Petter Hauge (90+1'), Jakic (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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