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Bundesliga | Gameweek 22
Feb 25, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Eintracht Frankfurt logo

RB Leipzig
2 - 1
Frankfurt

Werner (6'), Forsberg (40')
Orban (33'), Laimer (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sow (61')
Rode (57'), Sow (76'), Hasebe (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Eintracht Frankfurt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-1 Man City
Wednesday, February 22 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Frankfurt 0-2 Napoli
Tuesday, February 21 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: RB Leipzig 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt

Although both teams may start without their most potent attackers due to fitness concerns, we expect to see an entertaining contest between two of Germany's Champions League representatives on Saturday. While Frankfurt continue to punch above their weight under Glasner, there is little doubt that they are a more effective force on home turf, and we can envisage a narrow Leipzig win as they continue their surge under Rose's tutelage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 54.35%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 23.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for RB Leipzig in this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawEintracht Frankfurt
54.35% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08) 22.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 23.03% (0.084 0.08)
Both teams to score 57.32% (0.125 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.62% (0.118 0.12)42.37% (-0.115 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.22% (0.115 0.12)64.78% (-0.113 -0.11)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.46% (0.012 0.01)15.54% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.53% (0.023999999999994 0.02)44.46% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.87% (0.14 0.14)32.13% (-0.138 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.39% (0.158 0.16)68.6% (-0.155 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 54.35%
    Eintracht Frankfurt 23.03%
    Draw 22.62%
RB LeipzigDrawEintracht Frankfurt
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
1-0 @ 9.29% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.65% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.1%
3-0 @ 5.37% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.46% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.84% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 2.5% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.61% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 54.35%
1-1 @ 10.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.99% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.62%
1-2 @ 5.99% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.67% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.22% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.27% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.11% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.22% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 23.03%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Frankfurt

RB Leipzig
77.2%
Draw
12.7%
Eintracht Frankfurt
10.1%
79
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 5.30pm
Frankfurt
4-0
RB Leipzig
Kamada (16'), Rode (22'), Tuta (67'), Borre (84' pen.)
Sow (33')

Henrichs (60')
Mar 20, 2022 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
0-0
Frankfurt

Laimer (19')

N'Dicka (35'), Hinteregger (50'), Hrustic (56'), Petter Hauge (90+1'), Jakic (90+3')
Oct 30, 2021 5.30pm
Mar 14, 2021 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
1-1
Frankfurt
Forsberg (46')
Kluivert (44'), Nagelsmann (90+1'), Mukiele (90+3')
Kamada (61')
Younes (15'), N'Dicka (49'), Tuta (69')
Nov 21, 2020 5.30pm
Frankfurt
1-1
RB Leipzig
Barkok (43')
Durm (49'), Sow (60'), Abraham (83')
Poulsen (57')
Nkunku (9'), Olmo (45')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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