Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Freiburg1 - 4RB Leipzig
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 0-3 Freiburg
Saturday, March 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, March 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 0-0 Mainz
Saturday, March 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, March 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Freiburg 1-2 RB Leipzig
While the support could inspire an improved performance in Freiburg's first home match since Streich announced his departure, Leipzig's 10-match undefeated run against Saturday's opponents should become 11, with the hosts failing to beat any of the sides fifth or higher in the table in nine outings. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 45.42%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.6%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | RB Leipzig |
31.91% ( 0.13) | 22.67% ( -0.01) | 45.42% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 65.03% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
