MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 12:42:12| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
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Freiburg
1 - 4
RB Leipzig

Grifo (59')
Holer (64'), Sallai (90+2'), Sallai (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Haidara (2'), Openda (18', 44'), Sesko (54')
Schlager (64'), Raum (68'), Orban (73'), Henrichs (75'), Doan (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 0-3 Freiburg
Saturday, March 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 0-0 Mainz
Saturday, March 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 1-2 RB Leipzig

 While the support could inspire an improved performance in Freiburg's first home match since Streich announced his departure, Leipzig's 10-match undefeated run against Saturday's opponents should become 11, with the hosts failing to beat any of the sides fifth or higher in the table in nine outings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 45.42%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.6%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawRB Leipzig
31.91% (0.132 0.13) 22.67% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 45.42% (-0.121 -0.12)
Both teams to score 65.03% (0.111 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.38% (0.116 0.12)35.62% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.32% (0.128 0.13)57.67% (-0.123 -0.12)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.61% (0.133 0.13)22.38% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.11% (0.194 0.19)55.89% (-0.191 -0.19)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.79% (0.0019999999999953 0)16.21% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.29% (0.00099999999999767 0)45.71% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 31.91%
    RB Leipzig 45.42%
    Draw 22.67%
FreiburgDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 7.4% (0.015 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.43% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.07% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.69% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.36% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.03% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.38% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 31.91%
1-1 @ 9.88% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.73% (0.014 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.63% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.04% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.67%
1-2 @ 8.99% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.6% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.01% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5.45% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 4.08% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.64% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.66% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-4 @ 0.93% (0.005 0.01)
1-5 @ 0.9% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 45.42%

How you voted: Freiburg vs RB Leipzig

Freiburg
15.1%
Draw
18.9%
RB Leipzig
66.0%
53
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 11
RB Leipzig
3-1
Freiburg
Simons (6'), Openda (79' pen.), Baumgartner (80')
Haidara (62'), Openda (63')
Rohl (45+6')
> Preview
May 6, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 31
Freiburg
0-1
RB Leipzig
Kampl (73')
> Preview
May 2, 2023 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Freiburg
1-5
RB Leipzig
Gregoritsch (75')
Olmo (13'), Henrichs (14'), Szoboszlai (37', 90+7'), Nkunku (45+1')
> Preview
Nov 9, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 14
RB Leipzig
3-1
Freiburg
Simakan (54'), Nkunku (56'), Forsberg (78' pen.)
Kubler (66')
> Preview
May 21, 2022 7pm
Final
Freiburg
1-1
RB Leipzig
 RB Leipzig win 4-2 on penalties
Eggestein (19')
Kubler (81'), Lienhart (90'), Demirovic (113')
Nkunku (76')
Simakan (57'), Kampl (57'), Forsberg (82'), Tedesco (90+2'), Kampl (119')
Halstenberg (57')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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