Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Feb 20, 2022 at 6.30pm UK
Olympic Stadium
Hertha Berlin1 - 6RB Leipzig
We said: Hertha Berlin 1-2 RB Leipzig
Despite Leipzig's struggles on the road this season, they should possess enough quality to see off a struggling Hertha side in the capital on Sunday. Fitness could well be an issue following their European exploits on Thursday evening though, particularly with Tedesco naming a full-strength 11, but we are predicting a narrow victory for the visitors anyway. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 60.35%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 20.2% and a draw had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.45%) and 1-3 (7.24%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 (5.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 20.2% | 19.45% | 60.35% |
| Both teams to score 64.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
