Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 20

Jan 23, 2022 at 4.30pm UK

Olympic Stadium

Hertha Berlin
1 - 4
Bayern

Ekkelenkamp (80')
Serdar (70')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Tolisso (25'), Muller (45'), Sane (75'), Gnabry (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Hertha Berlin 0-3 Bayern Munich

With the pressure on Bayern once more, we expect them to raise their game again and come out with another emphatic display. Hertha should lack the quality to prevent a comfortable victory for the visitors, unless they can perform at their absolute best, but Bayern should easily brush aside their relegation-threatened opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 74.26%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 11.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.28%) and 1-3 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.13%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 2-1 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Hertha Berlin	Draw	Bayern Munich
11.19%	14.55%	74.26%

Both teams to score 61.11%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.39%

25.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

54.28%

45.72%

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.93%

35.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.18%

71.82%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.12%

5.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

77.45%

22.55%

Score Analysis

Hertha Berlin 11.19%

Bayern Munich 74.26%

Draw 14.55%

Hertha Berlin	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 3.21% 1-0 @ 2.16% 3-2 @ 1.59% 2-0 @ 1.13% 3-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.98% Total : 11.19%	1-1 @ 6.13% 2-2 @ 4.55% 0-0 @ 2.06% 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.31% Total : 14.55%	1-2 @ 8.68% 0-2 @ 8.28% 1-3 @ 8.2% 0-3 @ 7.83% 0-1 @ 5.85% 1-4 @ 5.81% 0-4 @ 5.55% 2-3 @ 4.3% 1-5 @ 3.29% 0-5 @ 3.14% 2-4 @ 3.04% 2-5 @ 1.73% 1-6 @ 1.56% 0-6 @ 1.49% 3-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 4.46% Total : 74.26%