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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 62.93%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 18.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.15%) and 1-3 (7.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 2-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Hoffenheim | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
18.09% | 18.98% | 62.93% |
Both teams to score 62.4% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.89% | 32.1% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.31% | 53.69% |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.19% | 30.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.92% | 67.08% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.18% | 9.81% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.4% | 32.59% |
Score Analysis |
Hoffenheim | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 4.87% 1-0 @ 3.56% 3-2 @ 2.22% 2-0 @ 2.1% 3-1 @ 1.91% Other @ 3.45% Total : 18.09% | 1-1 @ 8.26% 2-2 @ 5.65% 0-0 @ 3.02% 3-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 0.33% Total : 18.98% | 1-2 @ 9.59% 0-2 @ 8.15% 1-3 @ 7.42% 0-1 @ 7.02% 0-3 @ 6.31% 2-3 @ 4.37% 1-4 @ 4.31% 0-4 @ 3.66% 2-4 @ 2.54% 1-5 @ 2% 0-5 @ 1.7% 2-5 @ 1.18% 3-4 @ 1% Other @ 3.69% Total : 62.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 7 | 29 | 29 |
2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 20 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 19 |
6 | Freiburg | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
7 | Stuttgart | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
8 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 16 |
9 | Wolfsburg | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 15 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 14 |
12 | Mainz 05Mainz | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
13 | Hoffenheim | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 12 |
14 | Augsburg | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Heidenheim | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 10 |
16 | St Pauli | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 32 | -22 | 2 |
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