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Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
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Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
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Wolfsburg
Hoffenheim logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Oct 17, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
Dortmund logo

Hoffenheim
0 - 1
Dortmund


Posch (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Reus (76')
Reyna (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga match between Hoffenheim and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 62.93%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 18.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.15%) and 1-3 (7.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 2-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawBorussia Dortmund
18.09%18.98%62.93%
Both teams to score 62.4%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.89%32.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.31%53.69%
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19%30.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.92%67.08%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.18%9.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.4%32.59%
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 18.09%
    Borussia Dortmund 62.93%
    Draw 18.98%
HoffenheimDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 4.87%
1-0 @ 3.56%
3-2 @ 2.22%
2-0 @ 2.1%
3-1 @ 1.91%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 18.09%
1-1 @ 8.26%
2-2 @ 5.65%
0-0 @ 3.02%
3-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 18.98%
1-2 @ 9.59%
0-2 @ 8.15%
1-3 @ 7.42%
0-1 @ 7.02%
0-3 @ 6.31%
2-3 @ 4.37%
1-4 @ 4.31%
0-4 @ 3.66%
2-4 @ 2.54%
1-5 @ 2%
0-5 @ 1.7%
2-5 @ 1.18%
3-4 @ 1%
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 62.93%

Head to Head
Jun 27, 2020 2.30pm
Dec 20, 2019 7.30pm
Feb 9, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Dortmund
3-3
Hoffenheim
Sancho (32'), Gotze (43'), Guerreiro (66')
Belfodil (75', 87'), Kaderabek (83')
Grillitsch (28'), Demirbay (40'), Geiger (89')
Sep 22, 2018 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Hoffenheim
1-1
Dortmund
Joelinton (44')
Posch (57'), Nordtveit (90')
Pulisic (84')
Dahoud (21')
Diallo (76')
May 12, 2018 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern119203672929
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1172227161123
3RB Leipzig11632189921
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen115512618820
5Borussia DortmundDortmund116142218419
6Freiburg115241315-217
7Stuttgart114432119216
8Union BerlinUnion Berlin1144399016
9Wolfsburg114342018215
10Werder Bremen114341722-515
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
12Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
13Hoffenheim113351722-512
14Augsburg113351323-1012
15Heidenheim113171520-510
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum110291032-222


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