DFB-Pokal | First Round
Sep 14, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena
Duisburg0 - 5Dortmund
FT(HT: 0-3)
Sancho (14' pen.), Bellingham (30'), Hazard (39'), Reyna (50'), Reus (58')
Bellingham (21'), Witsel (26'), Hazard (48')
Bellingham (21'), Witsel (26'), Hazard (48')
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Duisburg and Borussia Dortmund.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 51.85%. A win for Duisburg had a probability of 25.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Duisburg win was 2-1 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Duisburg | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 25.02% | 23.13% | 51.85% |
| Both teams to score 57.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
