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Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 29, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Holstein-Stadion
Eintracht Frankfurt logo

Holstein Kiel
2 - 4
Frankfurt

Machino (30' pen., 50')
Porath (51')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Marmoush (25', 65'), Matanovic (47'), Tuta (74')
Amenda (35'), Koch (70'), Larsson (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and Eintracht Frankfurt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: VfL Bochum 2-2 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 3-3 Plzen
Thursday, September 26 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Holstein Kiel 1-2 Eintracht Frankfurt

Considering the strong form of the visitors in recent Bundesliga matches, they should be favourites in Sunday's game. However, after Eintracht Frankfurt's Europa League exploits last Thursday, it would not be surprising if Holstein Kiel created opportunities due to the away team's fatigue. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.13%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.

Result
Holstein KielDrawEintracht Frankfurt
31.2% (-0.21 -0.21) 23% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07) 45.8% (0.281 0.28)
Both teams to score 63.4% (0.151 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.39% (0.242 0.24)37.61% (-0.243 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.16% (0.259 0.26)59.84% (-0.26 -0.26)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)23.76% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.09% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)57.91% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.16% (0.202 0.2)16.84% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.16% (0.35899999999999 0.36)46.84% (-0.361 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Holstein Kiel 31.2%
    Eintracht Frankfurt 45.8%
    Draw 22.99%
Holstein KielDrawEintracht Frankfurt
2-1 @ 7.36% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 5.75% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-0 @ 4.13% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.14% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.98% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 31.2%
1-1 @ 10.24% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.56% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 4% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.87% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.99%
1-2 @ 9.12% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.13% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.35% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.42% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.89% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.77% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.41% (0.036 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.73% (0.026 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.68% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 45.8%

How you voted: Holstein Kiel vs Frankfurt

Holstein Kiel
14.9%
Draw
10.8%
Eintracht Frankfurt
74.3%
74
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern25194274235161
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen25158255302553
3Mainz 05Mainz25135742261644
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt25126751391242
5Freiburg2512583436-241
6RB Leipzig2510963933639
7Wolfsburg25108749391038
8Stuttgart2510784439537
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach25114103938137
10Borussia DortmundDortmund25105104539635
11Augsburg259882835-735
12Werder Bremen2596103849-1133
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2576122337-1427
14Hoffenheim2568113247-1526
15St Pauli2564151930-1122
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum2546152550-2518
17Holstein Kiel2545163761-2417
18Heidenheim2544172851-2316


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