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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 36.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.12%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Holstein Kiel | Draw | Wolfsburg |
39.99% ( 0.03) | 23.78% ( 0.01) | 36.23% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 62.21% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.13% ( -0.03) | 39.86% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.78% ( -0.03) | 62.22% ( 0.03) |
Holstein Kiel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.79% ( -0) | 20.2% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.48% | 52.51% ( 0) |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.96% ( -0.03) | 22.04% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.63% ( -0.05) | 55.37% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Holstein Kiel | Draw | Wolfsburg |
2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 3.03% Total : 39.99% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.78% | 1-2 @ 8.14% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.73% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.09% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.28% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 36.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Stuttgart | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 14 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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