Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 5, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
Mainz1 - 1Holstein Kiel
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dortmund 3-1 Mainz
Sunday, March 30 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, March 30 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
45
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 0-3 Werder Bremen
Saturday, March 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, March 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
38
We said: Mainz 05 2-0 Holstein Kiel
Only twice in the Bundesliga have Mainz ever lost a home game against a team sitting bottom of the table - the last of those came back in 2014 against Werder Bremen (2-1) - and it is difficult to envisage the 05ers coming up short in this contest. Indeed, Henriksen's side will be regarded as favourites for this weekend's match, despite their recent wobble, and they should have enough quality in their side to secure a routine home victory to keep their top-four hopes alive. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 60.33%. A draw has a probability of 21.1% and a win for Holstein Kiel has a probability of 18.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.73%) and 1-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Holstein Kiel win it is 1-2 (5.05%).
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
60.33% ( -1) | 21.1% ( 0.42) | 18.57% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 55.49% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.5% ( -0.99) | 41.49% ( 0.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.1% ( -1.01) | 63.89% ( 1) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.65% ( -0.61) | 13.34% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.78% ( -1.23) | 40.21% ( 1.22) |
| Holstein Kiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.03% ( 0.04) | 35.96% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.26% ( 0.05) | 72.73% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 60.33%
Holstein Kiel 18.57%
Draw 21.1%
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.73% ( -0)1-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 3.37% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.09)5-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.28% Total : 60.33% | 1-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.1% | 1-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.64% Total : 18.57% |
How you voted: Mainz vs Holstein Kiel
Mainz 05
94.6%Draw
2.7%Holstein Kiel
2.7%37
Head to Head
Nov 24, 2024 2.30pm
Form Guide
