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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 55.2%. A draw has a probability of 22.9% and a win for Mainz 05 has a probability of 21.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Mainz 05 win it is 0-1 (5.95%).
Result | ||
RB Leipzig | Draw | Mainz 05 |
55.2% (![]() | 22.93% (![]() | 21.88% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.75% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.93% (![]() | 45.07% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.59% (![]() | 67.41% (![]() |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.81% (![]() | 16.19% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.32% (![]() | 45.68% (![]() |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.33% (![]() | 34.67% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.6% (![]() | 71.4% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig | Draw | Mainz 05 |
1-0 @ 10.22% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.86% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.3% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.98% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.65% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.17% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.72% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.57% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.44% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 0.99% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.36% Total : 55.19% | 1-1 @ 10.82% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.61% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.22% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.92% | 0-1 @ 5.95% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.74% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.15% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.03% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.84% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 2.06% Total : 21.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 25 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 74 | 23 | 51 | 61 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 53 |
3 | Mainz 05Mainz | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 44 |
4 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 42 |
5 | Freiburg | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 41 |
6 | RB Leipzig | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 39 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Stuttgart | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 37 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 37 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 35 |
11 | Augsburg | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 35 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 27 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 26 |
15 | St Pauli | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 22 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 18 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 17 |
18 | Heidenheim | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 51 | -23 | 16 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |