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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 47.15%. A win for Holstein Kiel has a probability of 30.34% and a draw has a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.75%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win is 2-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.83%).
Result | ||
Holstein Kiel | Draw | Mainz 05 |
30.34% ( -4.25) | 22.5% ( -0.97) | 47.15% ( 5.21) |
Both teams to score 64.74% ( 1.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.36% ( 3.04) | 35.64% ( -3.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.3% ( 3.29) | 57.7% ( -3.29) |
Holstein Kiel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.69% ( -0.95) | 23.3% ( 0.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.75% ( -1.39) | 57.25% ( 1.39) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.41% ( 3.25) | 15.59% ( -3.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.44% ( 5.72) | 44.56% ( -5.73) |
Score Analysis |
Holstein Kiel | Draw | Mainz 05 |
2-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.73) 1-0 @ 5.29% ( -1.02) 2-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.87) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.46) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.49) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.21) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.02% Total : 30.34% | 1-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.7) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.58) 3-3 @ 2% ( 0.17) Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.5% | 1-2 @ 9.14% ( 0.35) 0-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.41) 1-3 @ 5.66% ( 0.77) 2-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.46) 0-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.62) 1-4 @ 2.63% ( 0.59) 2-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.39) 0-4 @ 1.81% ( 0.44) 1-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.3) 3-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.17) Other @ 3.05% Total : 47.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 7 | 26 | 26 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 21 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 20 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Freiburg | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 17 |
6 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 16 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 15 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 14 |
10 | Mainz 05Mainz | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Stuttgart | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 13 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 12 |
13 | Augsburg | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
14 | Heidenheim | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 9 |
16 | St Pauli | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 30 | -20 | 2 |
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