Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 37.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.04%) and 2-0 (5.08%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.
