Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Nov 26, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Stuttgart2 - 1Mainz 05
We said: Stuttgart 1-1 Mainz 05
Despite Stuttgart's troubles of late, we are predicting a draw in this one on Friday, with very little between these sides on their day. Were Mainz at home, we would be predicting a narrow victory, but we can see them having to settle for a third successive 1-1 draw at the Mercedes Benz Arena, although this could all depend on who scores the vital first goal. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stuttgart | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 39.87% | 25.9% | 34.22% |
| Both teams to score 54.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
