Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 2

Sep 26, 2020 at 2.30pm UK

OPEL ARENA

Mainz 05
1 - 4
Stuttgart

Quaison (13')
Niakhate (37')
Niakhate (77')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Wamangituka (45'), Didavi (61'), Klimowicz (80'), Kalajdzic (86')
Stenzel (52'), Mangala (69'), Castro (74')
Stenzel (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Stuttgart, including predictions and team news.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Stuttgart
32.51%	24.25%	43.24%

Both teams to score 59.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.97%

43.03%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.57%

65.43%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.4%

25.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.51%

60.49%

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.93%

20.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.69%

52.3%

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 32.51%

Stuttgart 43.24%

Draw 24.25%

Mainz 05	Draw	Stuttgart
2-1 @ 7.66% 1-0 @ 7% 2-0 @ 4.77% 3-1 @ 3.48% 3-2 @ 2.79% 3-0 @ 2.17% 4-1 @ 1.19% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.5% Total : 32.51%	1-1 @ 11.24% 2-2 @ 6.15% 0-0 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.25%	1-2 @ 9.03% 0-1 @ 8.25% 0-2 @ 6.63% 1-3 @ 4.83% 0-3 @ 3.55% 2-3 @ 3.29% 1-4 @ 1.94% 0-4 @ 1.42% 2-4 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.98% Total : 43.24%