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Bundesliga | Gameweek 2
Sep 26, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
OPEL ARENA
Stuttgart

Mainz 05
1 - 4
Stuttgart

Quaison (13')
Niakhate (37')
Niakhate (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wamangituka (45'), Didavi (61'), Klimowicz (80'), Kalajdzic (86')
Stenzel (52'), Mangala (69'), Castro (74')
Stenzel (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Stuttgart, including predictions and team news.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawStuttgart
32.51%24.25%43.24%
Both teams to score 59.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.97%43.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.57%65.43%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4%25.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.51%60.49%
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.93%20.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.69%52.3%
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 32.51%
    Stuttgart 43.24%
    Draw 24.25%
Mainz 05DrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 7.66%
1-0 @ 7%
2-0 @ 4.77%
3-1 @ 3.48%
3-2 @ 2.79%
3-0 @ 2.17%
4-1 @ 1.19%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 32.51%
1-1 @ 11.24%
2-2 @ 6.15%
0-0 @ 5.14%
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.25%
1-2 @ 9.03%
0-1 @ 8.25%
0-2 @ 6.63%
1-3 @ 4.83%
0-3 @ 3.55%
2-3 @ 3.29%
1-4 @ 1.94%
0-4 @ 1.42%
2-4 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 43.24%

Head to Head
Jan 19, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Stuttgart
2-3
Mainz
Gonzalez (83'), Kempf (85')
Kempf (20'), Ascacibar (89')
Ascacibar (22' og.), Mateta (28'), Hack (72')
Brosinski (84'), Holtmann (90')
Aug 26, 2018 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Mainz
1-0
Stuttgart
Ujah (76')
Holtmann (63')

Ascacibar (79'), Sosa (90')
Jan 20, 2018 2.30pm
Mainz
3-2
Stuttgart
Muto (45', 54'), Holtmann (64')
de Jong (47'), Zentner (90')
Badstuber (19'), Ginczek (90')
Insua (12'), Ginczek (59'), Burnic (75'), Pavard (83')
Dec 19, 2017 5.30pm
Third Round
Mainz
3-1
Stuttgart
Berggreen (62'), Diallo (71'), Serdar (90')
Latza (38'), Quaison (54')
Gentner (42')
Beck (70')
Aug 26, 2017 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern25194274235161
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen25158255302553
3Mainz 05Mainz25135742261644
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt25126751391242
5Freiburg2512583436-241
6RB Leipzig2510963933639
7Wolfsburg25108749391038
8Stuttgart2510784439537
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach25114103938137
10Borussia DortmundDortmund25105104539635
11Augsburg259882835-735
12Werder Bremen2596103849-1133
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2576122337-1427
14Hoffenheim2568113247-1526
15St Pauli2564151930-1122
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum2546152550-2518
17Holstein Kiel2545163761-2417
18Heidenheim2544172851-2316


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