MX23RW : Monday, March 10 13:38:59| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Heidenheim
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Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 25
Mar 8, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA

Wolfsburg
1 - 1
St Pauli

FT(HT: 0-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and St Pauli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, March 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: St Pauli 0-2 Dortmund
Saturday, March 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 2-0 St Pauli

Another tight affair similar to the reverse fixture cannot be ruled out here, but Wolfsburg will be regarded as favourites to come out on top. The hosts have made themselves difficult to beat in front of their own fans in recent months and we are backing them to pick up all three points against a St Pauli outfit struggling to score goals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 45%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
WolfsburgDrawSt Pauli
45% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06) 24.98% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 30.02% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 55.75% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.63% (0.112 0.11)47.37% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.41% (0.102 0.1)69.59% (-0.10199999999999 -0.1)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.91% (0.019999999999996 0.02)21.09% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.09% (0.032000000000004 0.03)53.91% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.64% (0.107 0.11)29.35% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.66% (0.134 0.13)65.34% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 45%
    St Pauli 30.02%
    Draw 24.98%
WolfsburgDrawSt Pauli
1-0 @ 9.64% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.5% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.77% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 45%
1-1 @ 11.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.19% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.63% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.98%
0-1 @ 7.59% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.24% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.65% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.96% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.9% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 30.02%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs St Pauli

Wolfsburg
87.1%
Draw
12.9%
St Pauli
0.0%
31
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
St Pauli
0-0
Wolfsburg
Kaminski (76'), Maehle (82'), Majer (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern25194274235161
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen25158255302553
3Mainz 05Mainz25135742261644
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt25126751391242
5Freiburg2512583436-241
6RB Leipzig2510963933639
7Wolfsburg25108749391038
8Stuttgart2510784439537
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach25114103938137
10Borussia DortmundDortmund25105104539635
11Augsburg259882835-735
12Werder Bremen2596103849-1133
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2576122337-1427
14Hoffenheim2568113247-1526
15St Pauli2564151930-1122
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum2546152550-2518
17Holstein Kiel2545163761-2417
18Heidenheim2544172851-2316


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