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Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 25
Mar 8, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA

Wolfsburg
1 - 1
St Pauli

FT(HT: 0-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and St Pauli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, March 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: St Pauli 0-2 Dortmund
Saturday, March 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 2-0 St Pauli

Another tight affair similar to the reverse fixture cannot be ruled out here, but Wolfsburg will be regarded as favourites to come out on top. The hosts have made themselves difficult to beat in front of their own fans in recent months and we are backing them to pick up all three points against a St Pauli outfit struggling to score goals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 45%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
WolfsburgDrawSt Pauli
45% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06) 24.98% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 30.02% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 55.75% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.63% (0.112 0.11)47.37% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.41% (0.102 0.1)69.59% (-0.10199999999999 -0.1)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.91% (0.019999999999996 0.02)21.09% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.09% (0.032000000000004 0.03)53.91% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.64% (0.107 0.11)29.35% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.66% (0.134 0.13)65.34% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 45%
    St Pauli 30.02%
    Draw 24.98%
WolfsburgDrawSt Pauli
1-0 @ 9.64% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.5% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.77% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 45%
1-1 @ 11.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.19% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.63% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.98%
0-1 @ 7.59% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.24% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.65% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.96% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.9% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 30.02%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs St Pauli

Wolfsburg
Draw
St Pauli
Wolfsburg
87.1%
Draw
12.9%
St Pauli
0.0%
31
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
St Pauli
0-0
Wolfsburg
Kaminski (76'), Maehle (82'), Majer (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern33247295326379
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen331911370412968
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt33169865452057
4Freiburg33167104850-255
5Borussia DortmundDortmund331661168511754
6Mainz 05Mainz331491053411251
7RB Leipzig33131285145651
8Werder Bremen33139115056-648
9Stuttgart331381261511047
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33136145556-145
11Augsburg331110123449-1543
12Wolfsburg331010135554140
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin33910143350-1737
14St Pauli3388172839-1132
15Hoffenheim33711154664-1832
16Heidenheim3385203660-2429
17Holstein Kiel3367204977-2825
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3357213167-3622


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