Bundesliga | Gameweek 22
Feb 15, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion
St Pauli0 - 1Freiburg
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-0 St Pauli
Sunday, February 9 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, February 9 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
18
Last Game: Freiburg 1-0 Heidenheim
Saturday, February 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, February 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
28
We said: St Pauli 2-1 Freiburg
Although Freiburg ended a seven-match winless run away from home (five defeats) with a recent 1-0 success at struggling Bochum, St Pauli head into gameweek 22's fixture on a two-match unbeaten run on home soil and the psychological edge over the Breisgau Brazilians. Thus, the 14th-placed hosts should continue their impressive Bundesliga record against Saturday's visitors by securing a marginal triumph. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 51.64%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 23.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Pauli | Draw | Freiburg |
51.64% ( -0.48) | 25.01% ( 0.06) | 23.35% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 50.08% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.84% ( 0.16) | 52.16% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.12% ( 0.13) | 73.87% ( -0.14) |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.8% ( -0.13) | 20.19% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.5% ( -0.21) | 52.5% ( 0.21) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.75% ( 0.48) | 37.25% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.96% ( 0.47) | 74.03% ( -0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
St Pauli 51.64%
Freiburg 23.35%
Draw 25.01%
| St Pauli | Draw | Freiburg |
| 1-0 @ 12.03% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.14)2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 51.64% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.01% | 0-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.7% Total : 23.35% |
How you voted: St Pauli vs Freiburg
St Pauli
48.8%Draw
27.9%Freiburg
23.3%43
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2022 5pm
Form Guide
