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Bundesliga | Gameweek 24
Mar 1, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion
Dortmund logo

St Pauli
0 - 2
Dortmund


Ceesay (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Guirassy (50'), Adeyemi (58')
Schlotterbeck (13'), Adeyemi (82'), Adeyemi (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 2-0 St Pauli
Saturday, February 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 6-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, February 22 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: St Pauli 0-2 Borussia Dortmund

Dortmund will be full of confidence following their impressive victory against Union, and they should be considered favourites. Additionally, though St Pauli did create opportunities last time out, they have struggled to convert their chances in recent games, and they could find it difficult to get on the scoresheet on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for St Pauli has a probability of 28.6% and a draw has a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest St Pauli win is 1-0 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.79%).

Result
St PauliDrawBorussia Dortmund
28.6% (0.25 0.25) 24.9% (0.047000000000001 0.05) 46.5% (-0.3 -0.3)
Both teams to score 55.12% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.21% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)47.79% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.02% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)69.98% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.42% (0.154 0.15)30.58% (-0.157 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.19% (0.182 0.18)66.81% (-0.18499999999999 -0.18)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.4% (-0.15299999999999 -0.15)20.6% (0.15 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.85% (-0.24 -0.24)53.14% (0.237 0.24)
Score Analysis
    St Pauli 28.6%
    Borussia Dortmund 46.5%
    Draw 24.9%
St PauliDrawBorussia Dortmund
1-0 @ 7.46% (0.049 0.05)
2-1 @ 6.99% (0.043 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.42% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.76% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.75% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 28.6%
1-1 @ 11.79% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.3% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.52% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.9%
0-1 @ 9.95% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.32% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.86% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.91% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 4.14% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.91% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.94% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.64% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 46.5%

How you voted: St Pauli vs Dortmund

St Pauli
11.1%
Draw
6.3%
Borussia Dortmund
82.5%
63
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 7
Dortmund
2-1
St Pauli
Bensebaini (43'), Guirassy (83')
Bynoe-Gittens (75'), Brandt (77')
Smith (78')
Smith (40')
Jan 18, 2022 7.45pm
Last 16
St Pauli
2-1
Dortmund
Amenyido (4'), Witsel (40' og.)
Braut Haaland (58' pen.)
Oct 28, 2014 7.30pm
Second Round
St Pauli
0-3
Dortmund

Gonther (84'), Maier (85')
Immobile (33'), Reus (44'), Kagawa (86')
Kehl (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern25194274235161
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen25158255302553
3Mainz 05Mainz25135742261644
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt25126751391242
5Freiburg2512583436-241
6RB Leipzig2510963933639
7Wolfsburg25108749391038
8Stuttgart2510784439537
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach25114103938137
10Borussia DortmundDortmund25105104539635
11Augsburg259882835-735
12Werder Bremen2596103849-1133
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2576122337-1427
14Hoffenheim2568113247-1526
15St Pauli2564151930-1122
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum2546152550-2518
17Holstein Kiel2545163761-2417
18Heidenheim2544172851-2316


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