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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
Result | ||
RB Leipzig | Draw | St Pauli |
44.32% (![]() | 24.02% (![]() | 31.65% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.91% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.72% (![]() | 42.28% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.31% (![]() | 64.68% (![]() |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.7% (![]() | 19.29% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.96% (![]() | 51.04% (![]() |
St Pauli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.24% (![]() | 25.76% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.3% (![]() | 60.7% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig | Draw | St Pauli |
2-1 @ 9.13% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.18% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.73% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.01% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.69% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.39% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.06% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.52% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.4% ( ![]() Other @ 3.23% Total : 44.32% | 1-1 @ 11.09% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.19% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.97% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.54% ( ![]() Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.02% | 1-2 @ 7.52% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.74% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.57% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.4% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.8% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.07% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.15% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 2.45% Total : 31.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 25 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 74 | 23 | 51 | 61 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 53 |
3 | Mainz 05Mainz | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 44 |
4 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 42 |
5 | Freiburg | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 41 |
6 | RB Leipzig | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 39 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Stuttgart | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 37 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 37 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 35 |
11 | Augsburg | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 35 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 27 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 26 |
15 | St Pauli | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 22 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 18 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 17 |
18 | Heidenheim | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 51 | -23 | 16 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |