Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Esperance Tunis win with a probability of 80.48%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Sagrada Esperança had a probability of 4.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Esperance Tunis win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.71%) and 3-0 (13.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (6.88%), while for a Sagrada Esperança win it was 0-1 (2.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Esperance Tunis would win this match.